. 1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State — His pro day did nothing to change Winston's status as the No. 1 pick. Tampa is just hoping he doesn't do anything silly/stupid between now and the time the Bucs are on the clock. The Bucs don't need any real reason to pull the trigger.
2. Tennessee Titans — Leonard Williams, DT, USC — The safe choice once again, with a hypothetical Philip Rivers trade not materializing in this hypothetical draft. Williams feels like such a safe choice (even though such a thing doesn't exist), he can improve this defense immediately and it keeps Ken Whisenhunt from being under the gun with a high-profile quarterback taken at the top of the draft. You have one of those and your clock is ticking.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars — Dante Fowler, Jr., OLB, Florida — In this scenario, Dave Caldwell is in love with the local Florida product and wants to bring in a LEO for Gus Bradley's defense. Fowler is a dangerous pass rusher and has versatility after the way the Gators used him all over the field last season.
4. New York Jets (via MOCK TRADE Oakland Raiders) — Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon — The Jets fall for the smokescreen, get aggressive and leapfrog Washington to grab Mariota. The cost isn't prohibitive because they're only jumping two spots and they lock down their quarterback of the future who could theoretically play right away in a Chan Gailey offense. Cannot fathom a world in which Mariota falls out of the top five.
5. Washington Redskins — Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson — Washington is fine with whatever because they can still nab a guy who gives them a pass-rushing threat to pair opposite Ryan Kerrigan. Beasley isn't a perfect three-down fit but when he gets after the quarterback he gets after the quarterback.
6. Oakland Raiders (via MOCK TRADE New York Jets) — Kevin White, WR, West Virginia — Finding difficulty not projecting White as a money fit for the Raiders. Derek Carr needs weapons and White has the talent, size and speed to be a guy who can impact at the next level right away.
7. Chicago Bears — Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama — Back-to-back wideouts here, with the Bears re-loading after the trade of Brandon Marshall to New York. Cooper is a different weapon but he's a nice compliment to Alshon Jeffery and is polished enough to start and produce for Chicago early.
8. Atlanta Falcons — Randy Gregory, DE, Nebraska — The failed drug test is a problem but it's not a deal breaker. Especially for a team that needs pass-rush help in the worst possible way.
9. New York Giants — Danny Shelton, DT, Washington — Best player available for the Giants plus an increased presence on the middle of their defensive line. The Giants gave up 4.9 yards per carry and 135.1 rushing yards per game last year and are in a division with three teams looking to run. Shelton is a massive space-eater who can also put pressure on the quarterback up the middle.
10. St. Louis Rams — Brandon Scherff, OL, Iowa — Back-to-back seasons for Jeff Fisher taking an offensive lineman in the first round, the only two times he's done so in his career as a head coach. They've got to get bodies to run behind and protect Nick Foles if they plan on contending in the NFC West.
11. Minnesota Vikings — DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville — Not necessarily a "need" pick based on the depth chart. But Mike Wallace isn't the answer and is already 28 somehow, while Cordarrelle Patterson hasn't developed the way Minnesota hoped. Parker is another, long-term weapon for Teddy Bridgewater who, oh yeah, is his former teammate.
12. Philadelphia Eagles (via MOCK TRADE with Cleveland Browns) — Arik Armstead, DT, Oregon — It would be pretty hysterical if Chip Kelly made the bold move to trade up in the first round of the draft to grab one of his former players and that player wasn't Mariota. Philly and Cleveland talked trade earlier in the year with respect to Sam Bradford. This deal wouldn't include any quarterback swapping or a first-round pick.
13. New Orleans Saints — Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford — Grabbing Peat helps Sean Patyon build out the protection for Drew Brees and establish a more physical presence in the running game. It's clear they're planning to pound Mark Ingram and then drop the home-run hammer with C.J. Spiller. Payton is only ranked top 10 in rushing attempts once as a head coach and that was the year the Saints won the Super Bowl.
14. Miami Dolphins —Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State — Love the decision by Miami to trade for Kenny Stills (even if it cost a third-round pick) and move Wallace to Minnesota. But the wideout corps is far from complete. Strong would be a huge plus here.
15. San Francisco 49ers —Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State — San Francisco has to improve its secondary (among other things) and with the top corner in the draft falling halfway down in the first round, there's a prime opportunity to get better off the bat.
16. Houston Texans — Shane Ray, DE, Missouri — This team is going to win in 2015 because of defense. Add another pass rusher to an already dangerous defensive line — Jadeveon Clowney, J.J Watt, Vince Wilfork, Whitney Mercilus — and suddenly you're just winging bodies at opposing quarterbacks and making it really difficult for offenses to spend the extra body needed to double-team Watt.
