i don't know how accurate i consider this. counterpoints:
McClatchy-Marist Poll (11.11.11):
...which puts Cain tied for third with undecided. but to be fair, it's a competitive third and drops off after him.
also, the
CBS-NYT poll you mention (which might be slightly earlier than the previous poll there):
so it gives Cain a NARROW lead (still a lead, true) and shows him trending downward, which is not where you want to be when you're up by 3%.
and honestly, here's the takeaway, i think: Bachmann and Perry and Cain (and sort of Gingrich) have rised in polls, and have fallen. Romney has ALWAYS hovered around the top or been first in the polls. this is why he'll be a frontrunner for the foreseeable future. he remains smarter and more likeable than Bachmann/Perry; FAR more likeable than goddamn Gingrich; and should be tested well against scandal, unlike, apparently, Cain.