16. Jacksonville (8-8)
QB Jake Locker Washington Sr. 6-3 230
Locker has helped his stock at this week's Senior Bowl and I think he's back on the rise after a very inaccurate senior season. I know Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio has to win now or else in 2011, but is another season of David Garrard and the status quo at quarterback going to alter the outcome? Time to get a little bold and roll the dice on a young arm in Jacksonville.
17. New England (14-2) -- from Oakland
DE J.J. Watt Wisconsin Jr. 6-6 292
Call me a homer, but I watched this kid play for the Rose Bowl-bound Badgers this season -- I live about five minutes from Camp Randall Stadium -- and came away supremely impressed. He has a non-stop motor, knows how to find the ballcarrier, and seems to continuously improve his game. The Pats need a 3-4 defensive end, and they've got some good choices. Watt, Cal's Cameron Jordan and Iowa's Adrian Clayborn could all be on New England's radar.
18. San Diego (9-7)
DE Cameron Jordan California Sr. 6-4 283
The Chargers defense just doesn't have the front seven playmakers it once featured, and Jordan is a prospect I expect NFL scouts to fall in love with the more they watch. He played a 3-4 end position at Cal, but he's active and athletic enough to handle the left end in a 4-3, and his speed rush and ability to get into the backfield are his calling cards.
19. New York Giants (10-6)
OT Tyron Smith USC Jr. 6-5 280
Upgrading the offensive line is a priority that fits with the value of their draft slot, and Smith represents a solid and safe pick who is considered the third-best tackle prospect on the board. Florida center/guard Mike Pouncey -- twin brother of Maurkice -- is another option as Shaun O'Hara's eventual replacement.
20. Tampa Bay (10-6)
DE Adrian Clayborn Iowa Sr. 6-4 285
Clayborn could go higher than this, but if he's there, Tampa Bay could snatch him up and keep adding to its impressive young collection of talent on the defensive line. Clayborn wasn't great as a senior, but he has edge rushing skills and great strength.
21. Kansas City (10-6)
OLB Akeem Ayers UCLA Jr. 6-4 255
Mike Vrabel can't play forever, and the Chiefs need someone to create pressure from the outside linebacker slot opposite the underappreciated Tamba Hali. Kansas City would feel fortunate if Ayers lasts this long, and he would likely shift the Chiefs' focus on offensive tackle to the second round. Ayers can chase -- and catch -- ballcarriers from sideline to sideline.
22. Indianapolis (10-6)
OT Gabe Carimi Wisconsin Jr. 6-7 327
Almost everyone has the Colts pegged for taking the best available offensive lineman, because it's the obvious area of need in Indy. Carimi is probably a right tackle in the NFL, but that's what everyone was saying last year at this time about Rodger Saffold, and the Rams rookie was superb at the more difficult left tackle spot.
23. Philadelphia (10-6)
G-C Mike Pouncey Florida Sr. 6-4 310
University of Miami cornerback Brandon Harris would address a need, but the offensive line also requires some attention. This pick would make Pennsylvania a two-Pouncey state, with 2010 rookie Maurkice Pouncey going 18th overall to the Steelers last April. If the Eagles don't want to spend at this level for the interior of the offensive line, Mississippi State offensive tackle Derek Sherrod is a prospect to keep in mind.
24. New Orleans (11-5)
DE Ryan Kerrigan Purdue Sr. 6-4 263
The Saints need more pass rush out of their front seven, and Kerrigan is a relentless worker who led the nation in tackles for loss last season. Unless there's a running back the Saints really love here, the talent-rich defensive line position should get New Orleans' first-round attention.
25. Seattle (7-9)
QB Ryan Mallett Arkansas Jr. 6-6 238
It's nothing more than my solid hunch at this point, but Mallett has the kind of arm that intrigues NFL decision-makers, and his poor footwork can be improved on with steady coaching. I don't get the feeling Pete Carroll is sold on Charlie Whitehurst as his team's quarterback of the future, but Whitehurst would buy Mallett some time to develop.
26. Baltimore (12-4)
CB Brandon Harris Miami Jr. 5-11 195
The Ravens got wiped out by injuries early last season at cornerback, and even though they patched things up and kept winning, it's an area of the roster that needs fortification. Harris has solid bottom-of-the-first-round value, and it doesn't hurt that he'd be another Hurricane added to the Ray Lewis- and Ed Reed-led defense.
27. Atlanta (13-3)
DE Cameron Heyward Ohio State Sr. 6-5 288
The son of former Falcons running back Craig "Ironhead" Heyward would upgrade an Atlanta defensive line that can't rely forever on John Abraham for all its pass rush. Heyward's standout game in the Sugar Bowl against Arkansas had to put him in Atlanta's line of vision, and the Georgia native can play both inside and outside in a 4-3 defensive formation.
28. New England (14-2)
OLB Justin Houston Georgia Jr. 6-3 258
The Patriots clearly need to generate more pass rush, and while Houston played more of a hybrid DE-OLB role in college, New England would use him at outside linebacker in their 3-4 scheme. The more the Patriots' front seven improves, the better their oft-burned secondary is going to fare.
29. Chicago (11-5)
OT Derek Sherrod Mississippi State Jr. 6-5 280
The Bears have decent options when their turn comes around. They can get help for the offensive line that caused them so many headaches, particularly early in the season, or address their needs at either defensive tackle, receiver or cornerback. Sherrod is the highest-rated remaining tackle, but Texas cornerback Aaron Williams and LSU defensive tackle Drake Nevis would also make sense.
30. New York Jets (11-5)
DT Corey Liuget Illinois Jr. 6-3 300
The Jets need to use this draft to find Kris Jenkins' eventual replacement. The veteran defensive tackle has missed most of the past two seasons with knee injuries and anything they get out of him at this point is a bonus. Oregon DT Stephen Paea is another possibility, but he left the Senior Bowl this week with a partially torn lateral meniscus and that puts at least a small question mark by his name.
31. Pittsburgh (12-4)*
CB Jimmy Smith Colorado Sr. 6-2 205
The Steelers have gotten away with less than top-notch corners for a while now, and Smith has ideal size and strong coverage skills. He can more than hold his own against tall, physical receivers, and his head-to-head matchup with Georgia's A.J. Green was one of the highlights of his senior season.
32. Green Bay (10-6)*
OT Ben Ijalana Villanova Sr. 6-4 320
The Packers could use a 3-4 defensive end to groom as Ryan Pickett's replacement. But with the run on linemen having unfolded above, there might not be one left with a first-round grade. When all else fails, it's hard to go wrong with the best available offensive tackle, giving Green Bay more youth at one of the game's most important positions.
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